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September 22, 2014

What if Thomas Piketty is Right about Inequality? A Scenario-Planning Perspective

Peter Kennedy
Partner

A FSG conversation on one of the most important economic questions of our time.

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January 28, 2014

Scenario Planning Bible

Patrick Marren
Partner

The U.S. Coast Guard releases version 3.0 of Creating and Sustaining Strategic Intent in the U.S. Coast Guard.

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August 02, 2013

How Doctors - and We - Think

Patrick Marren
Partner

Scenarios are like second, third, fourth and fifth opinions.

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July 15, 2013

Scenario Planning for the "Overexamined" Life

Patrick Marren
Partner

"It's rampant narcissism!" our client said last week, exasperated. 

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May 10, 2013

Two Scenarios of the Future, a Century Apart

Patrick Marren
Partner

A spooky resonance between 2013 and 1913.

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April 22, 2013

The Boston Marathon Bombing, Al Gore, Byron Reese, and Scenario Planning

Patrick Marren
Partner

While the surreal drama of the Marathon Bombing and the subsequent manhunt was going on last week, I was reading two books about the future.

I was expecting to be annoyed by Al Gore's book The Future, and to be energized by Byron Reese's Infinite Progress. But it didn't quite turn out that way.

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March 25, 2013

A really, really, REALLY long-term scenario

Patrick Marren
Partner

Lawrence Krauss says we know more about where the universe came from right now than beings in the far-distant future possibly could. 

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February 08, 2013

De Rerum Mutandorum

Patrick Marren
Partner

 

Institutions change faster and more completely than we think. An example from some recent reading: Harvard University.

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October 25, 2012

Nate Silver and Data-Recency Bias

Patrick Marren
Partner

One more thought provoked by Nate Silver's thought-provoking The Signal and the Noise.

It's about the seductiveness of data and cool, overly precise models.

(In comparison, say, to scenario-based planning? Sorry, the scenario consultants in us always rear their ugly, pragmatic, self-promoting heads. We gotta work on that.)

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