January 06, 2014

Positive Economic Scenarios for 2014

Peter Kennedy
Partner

At the start of 2014, the U.S. economy is looking brighter than it has been since the onset of the financial crisis.  But should we still be worried?

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October 16, 2013

2012 (and 2011) Redux

Patrick Marren
Partner

Another blast from the past for your enjoyment, as we twiddle our thumbs as Washington flicks lit matches around a gunpowder factory, just as it did at the end of 2012 and in mid-2011 (and will do again next year).

http://www.futuresstrategygroup.com/blog/pmarren/scenario-planning-bulletin

 

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October 10, 2013

What, Us Worry?

Patrick Marren
Partner

The Financial Times has a story that causes our eyebrows to rise well above half-mast this morning.

 

With Greek banks' splendid history of rigorous management and Wall Street hedge funds' impeccable eye for risk and record of spreading nothing but goodness and light in countries in which they invest, what could possibly go wrong? 

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September 03, 2013

RIP, Ronald Coase 1910-2013

Patrick Marren
Partner

The legendary and ageless Ronald Coase has finally left the scene.

In honor of the great economist and thinker, we offer an article about his work from six years ago.

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August 15, 2013

The Inevitable Not Happening?

Patrick Marren
Partner

The importance of including the seemingly impossible when writing scenarios.

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August 14, 2013

Airline Scenarios: American-US Airways

Patrick Marren
Partner

Normally we are into alternative scenarios. But airlines seem to be stuck in one scenario.

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July 15, 2013

Scenario Planning for the "Overexamined" Life

Patrick Marren
Partner

"It's rampant narcissism!" our client said last week, exasperated. 

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June 27, 2013

Two Very Bad Scenario Planning Data Points

Patrick Marren
Partner

Illinois and Ireland and the downside of austerity.

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January 31, 2013

Thirteen: Year of Magical Thinking

Patrick Marren
Partner

Too many hands.

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January 24, 2013

U.S. Poverty Scenarios

Peter Kennedy
Partner

Some 15 percent of Americans live below the poverty line.  How much can the Obama administration do in four years to improve that situation?

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