June 28, 2014

One Hundred Years Ago Today

Patrick Marren
Partner

100 years ago today, according to a late friend of ours.

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February 04, 2014

The Future Mental Olympics?

Patrick Marren
Partner

David Brooks has a column today about the effect computing technology might have on the sorts of intellectual skills humans will value in the future.

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November 22, 2013

JFK + 50: Alternative Scenarios

Patrick Marren
Partner

A few thoughts on this anniversary...

If JFK had lived:

1. He had started back-channel communications with Castro a few weeks before his death, so our relations with Cuba might have been very different.

2. He had also begun discussions with his advisors about an exit strategy from Vietnam. Some experts think he would have stayed in Vietnam; others, including some of his closest advisors, think he would have gotten out in a second term. It seems unlikely that he would have escalated as aggressively as LBJ.

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November 07, 2013

Robust Near-Earth Asteroid Scenarios

Peter Kennedy
Partner

Scenario planners are always on the lookout for "wild cards" -- low-probability, high-impact events that can occur across multiple scenarios.  Like near-Earth asteroids.

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October 01, 2013

A Letter to a Great Client

Patrick Marren
Partner

I've had this one written in my head for at least ten years, because some clients are so good that you take nothing for granted.

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September 03, 2013

RIP, Ronald Coase 1910-2013

Patrick Marren
Partner

The legendary and ageless Ronald Coase has finally left the scene.

In honor of the great economist and thinker, we offer an article about his work from six years ago.

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April 10, 2013

4-10: Not Just Kerry Strug's Height

Patrick Marren
Partner

The past is prologue to scenario consultants. Things that happened on April 10 through history.

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April 09, 2013

April 9 Through History

Patrick Marren
Partner

If you had anticipated these things happening before they did, on April 9 throughout history, we might have hired you as a scenario consultant. If we had been around.

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April 08, 2013

April 8 Scenario Plan-O-Genic Historic Events

Patrick Marren
Partner

Things that happened on April 8 through history that might cause one to say, "Hmmm."

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April 07, 2013

April 7 Scenario Nuggets

Patrick Marren
Partner

Things that happened on April 7 through history.

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