February 24, 2013

2/24: Things That Happened for the First Time

Patrick Marren
Partner

Some scenarios that happened for the first time, seem to be happening again?

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February 23, 2013

The 23rd of February: Unexpected Scenarios

Patrick Marren
Partner

The more things change, the more they create new and unexpected scenarios.

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February 22, 2013

February 22: Expect the Unexpected

Patrick Marren
Partner

All along the untrodden paths of the future, I can see the footprints of an unseen hand. - Sir Boyle Roche

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February 21, 2013

February 21: Novelties

Patrick Marren
Partner

Some people see things that are and say "Why?" We see things that never were and say, "This would make a good scenario-based planning exercise."

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February 20, 2013

February 20: Things That Had Never Happened Before

Patrick Marren
Partner

Every day something happens that has never happened before. So you should be creating scenarios to anticipate the truly novel.

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February 19, 2013

Reasons for Scenario Planning: February 19

Patrick Marren
Partner

Scenario planning is necessary because things happen all the time that have never happened before.

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February 14, 2013

The Valley of the Shadow

Patrick Marren
Partner

WIll the great institutions of society learn how to live with transparency before transparency destroys them?

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February 08, 2013

De Rerum Mutandorum

Patrick Marren
Partner

 

Institutions change faster and more completely than we think. An example from some recent reading: Harvard University.

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August 21, 2012

400-Word Scenario #5: Revenge of the Real?

Patrick Marren
Partner

The Actual has its revenge upon the Virtual...

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July 12, 2012

400-Word Scenario #1: Clawback World

Patrick Marren
Partner

Scenario planning requires imagination. Everyone likes to pretend that imagination is fun and games. But really, imagination is often very difficult and painful, because it requires us not just to take incremental steps along a pre-existing path, but to make up an entirely different path. (There are gradations of this: from some godlike perspective even truly ingenious innovative thoughts can seem boring and incremental, and from an quotidian perspective simple incremental steps can seem like the moon landing. But I digress.) 

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