August 08, 2018

Capturing Scenario Planning Value

Peter Kennedy
Managing Principal

With any strategic planning exercise, maintaining momentum through the implemention phase can be a challenge.  Here are some important insights we've picked up along the way. Read more

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February 26, 2018

23 and Me, You, Everything

Peter Kennedy
Managing Principal

Biology is not destiny, but the field of genomics is chock full of powerful implications -- for science, medicine, commerce, society and just about anything we can think of.Read more

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December 18, 2017

FSG 2017 Holiday Wrap-Up

Peter Kennedy
Managing Principal

FSG scenario consultants are wrapping up a busy and stimulating 2017, and we have lots of news to share.

Throughout 2017, FSG retained its close support relationship with the Accreditation Council for Graduate Medical Education (ACGME). The mission of ACGME is to understand and anticipate how the US medical system (and US society in general) will evolve so that ACGME can ensure that resident physicians are prepared to serve patients well into the 2050 decade. FSG has continued to update...Read more

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December 13, 2017

Scenario Planning for Big Tech and Big Media

Peter Kennedy
Managing Principal

Are we nearing a tipping point?Read more

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November 28, 2017

Scenario Planning for Sustainability

Peter Kennedy
Managing Principal

Earlier this month, FSG managing principal Peter Kennedy presented to the New York metro area chapter of the Sustainability Leadership Forum (SLF). SLF brings together senior executives from large organizations to share knowledge, insights and best practices in sustainability leadership.  Peter’s topic was scenario planning for sustainability strategy and planning, and how to manage the uncertainty that surrounds climate change impacts, regulatory policies, international agreements, economic growth and...Read more

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October 11, 2017

40 million people go missing in the future

Gerard Smith
Managing Principal

This is the first of two short pieces that focus on demographics. A central premise of scenario based (‘alternative futures’) strategic planning is that the future is uncertain because it is emergent—it can’t be predicted by studying individual trends, because what matters is the interaction between them; moreover many of these trends are themselves unpredictable. But some of them are not. Which brings me to demographics, because of the many forces for change that we consider in the course of our work, the size of the population and its component parts would be placed at the ‘more...Read more

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October 11, 2017

Older and Wiser?

Gerard Smith
Managing Principal

This is the second of two pieces about demography, focusing on another aspect, less to do with the population’s overall size than with its structure -  specifically the changing composition by age group....Read more

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April 27, 2017

A Hypothesis about Working-Class Rage

Patrick Marren
Principal
Why are ordinary people revolting? Maybe...prediction?Read more
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April 25, 2017

The Wrong Way to Use History

Patrick Marren
Principal

There have been a lot of historical analogies being thrown around lately.

The presidency of Donald Trump has caused a lot of smart people (and a lot of less-well-educated ones) to dig up stuff from the past that they see as relevant to our current situation - and to where we may be headed in the near future.

Those who like President Trump enjoy talking about how he reminds them of Ronald Reagan, another Republican outsider, who upset liberals but ended up as a transformative president, by anyone's standard. Others see him as being like Andrew Jackson, a populist who got his...Read more

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March 23, 2017

FSG Scenario Planning Workshop with Rhode Island Fisheries

Peter Kennedy
Managing Principal

Scenario planning is an enjoyable and stimulating endeavor, endlessly interesting and always rewarding —to a large extent because its usefulness is in decision making under uncertainty.Read more

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