FSG OUTLOOK

Institutions change faster and more completely than we think. An example from some recent reading: Harvard University.

Too many hands.

The Manti Te'o events of this past week have caused your scenario planning consultants to think bad thoughts about the future.

Five things that were "bound to occur," away from which we rashly predict the media will moonwalk at warp speed in 2013.

Hot Breaking News on the Fiscal Cliff!

Sometimes leaders do not have the luxury of taking the long view; sometimes high-impact events compel hard decisions to be made now. 

Now that the happy horserace of the election is over, on to some grimmer scenarios. 

This has been a ridiculously busy and stressful week for three of our recent scenario-based strategic planning clients: the United States Coast Guard, the Port Authority of New York and New Jersey, and the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA).

One more thought provoked by Nate Silver's thought-provoking The Signal and the Noise.

Scenario consultants have an advantage over single-point forecasters like Nate Silver: we're not restricted to single point forecasts.