January 29, 2019

Capitalism and the Long Term

Gerard Smith
Managing Principal

The stability of capitalism is threatened by an excessive focus on the short-term. The long term must be a part of decision making, and scenario planning can help.Read more

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January 15, 2019

Intelligent Technology and the Coming Liability Crisis

Kevin McDermott
Associate Consultant

Intelligent technologies are so woven into our lives that we no longer see them.  They are not us.  Yet we permit them to decide for us...Read more

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December 06, 2018

Alternative Crispr Futures

Peter Kennedy
Managing Principal

We're not yet to designer babies or Gattica, but those futures are no longer science fiction. Read more

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February 26, 2018

23 and Me, You, Everything

Peter Kennedy
Managing Principal

Biology is not destiny, but the field of genomics is chock full of powerful implications -- for science, medicine, commerce, society and just about anything we can think of.Read more

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November 28, 2017

Scenario Planning for Sustainability

Peter Kennedy
Managing Principal

Scenario planning and alternative futures are powerful tools for building corporate consensus around sustainability policies. Read more

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October 11, 2017

40 million people go missing in the future

Gerard Smith
Managing Principal

Demographics, unlike many other scenario-planning factors, is not prone to serious uncertainty, right?  Hang on...Read more

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October 11, 2017

Older and Wiser?

Gerard Smith
Managing Principal

This is the second of two pieces about demography, focusing on another aspect, less to do with the population’s overall size than with its structure -  specifically the changing composition by age group....Read more

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April 27, 2017

A Hypothesis about Working-Class Rage

Patrick Marren
Principal
Why are ordinary people revolting? Maybe...prediction?Read more
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April 25, 2017

The Wrong Way to Use History

Patrick Marren
Principal

There have been a lot of historical analogies being thrown around lately.

The presidency of Donald Trump has caused a lot of smart people (and a lot of less-well-educated ones) to dig up stuff from the past that they see as relevant to our current situation - and to where we may be headed in the near future.

Those who like President Trump enjoy talking about how he reminds them of Ronald Reagan, another Republican outsider, who upset liberals but ended up as a transformative president, by anyone's standard. Others see him as being like Andrew Jackson, a populist who got his...Read more

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November 16, 2016

Hate to Say We Told You So...

Patrick Marren
Principal
But we told you so.Read more
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