May 30, 2013

400-Word Scenario #11: The Gray Revolution

Patrick Marren
Partner

A bill of rights for the elderly?Read more

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May 10, 2013

Two Scenarios of the Future, a Century Apart

Patrick Marren
Partner

A spooky resonance between 2013 and 1913.Read more

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May 08, 2013

The War on the Future

Patrick Marren
Partner

Some say our era is dominated by the war between the left and the right. But the real war right now is the war of the present against the future. Read more

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April 28, 2013

Scenario Planning, 100 Years Ago and Now

Patrick Marren
Partner

Reading a book about 1913 Vienna illuminates a 2013 book about a future of inevitable progress.Read more

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April 22, 2013

The Boston Marathon Bombing, Al Gore, Byron Reese, and Scenario Planning

Patrick Marren
Partner

While the surreal drama of the Marathon Bombing and the subsequent manhunt was going on last week, I was reading two books about the future.

I was expecting to be annoyed by Al Gore's book The Future, and to be energized by Byron Reese's Infinite Progress. But it didn't quite turn out that way.

I have certainly enjoyed and been energized by Reese's book. Its subtitle, How the Internet and Technology Will End Ignorance, Disease, Poverty, Hunger and War, gives you an idea of its thesis. It is a good antidote to the kind of doomsaying futurism that we...Read more

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March 25, 2013

A really, really, REALLY long-term scenario

Patrick Marren
Partner

Lawrence Krauss says we know more about where the universe came from right now than beings in the far-distant future possibly could. Read more

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March 04, 2013

Scenario Planning: Warren Buffett, Gottfried von Leibniz, Blaise Pascal, and Peter Bernstein

Gerard Smith
Managing Principal

Why these people would think scenario planning was awesome.Read more

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March 04, 2013

March 4 Historical Notes

Patrick Marren
Partner

March 4th... but not before doing some scenario planning.Read more

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March 03, 2013

Third Day, Third Month

Patrick Marren
Partner

Scenario planning (or its lack) through history - March 3.Read more

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March 03, 2013

3/2 Events

Patrick Marren
Partner

Things that happened for which scenario planning was or might have been useful on this date in history.

537: Ostrogoths begin a siege of Rome. Belisarius almost gets caught outside the walls, but makes it inside in time to lead a successful long-term resistance to the siege (probably thanks to a primitive form of scenario planning).

1484: The College of Arms or Herald's College is established in England by Richard III just in time to get him a family crest before he is killed (due undoubtedly to a dire lack of scenario planning) at Bosworth Field and buried, again due to a...Read more

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