December 18, 2017

FSG 2017 Holiday Wrap-Up

Peter Kennedy
Managing Principal

FSG scenario consultants are wrapping up a busy and stimulating 2017, and we have lots of news to share.

Throughout 2017, FSG retained its close support relationship with the Accreditation Council for Graduate Medical Education (ACGME). The mission of ACGME is to understand and anticipate how the US medical system (and US society in general) will evolve so that ACGME can ensure that resident physicians are prepared to serve patients well into the 2050 decade. FSG has continued to update...Read more

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October 11, 2017

40 million people go missing in the future

Gerard Smith
Managing Principal

This is the first of two short pieces that focus on demographics. A central premise of scenario based (‘alternative futures’) strategic planning is that the future is uncertain because it is emergent—it can’t be predicted by studying individual trends, because what matters is the interaction between them; moreover many of these trends are themselves unpredictable. But some of them are not. Which brings me to demographics, because of the many forces for change that we consider in the course of our work, the size of the population and its component parts would be placed at the ‘more...Read more

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April 25, 2017

The Wrong Way to Use History

Patrick Marren
Principal

There have been a lot of historical analogies being thrown around lately.

The presidency of Donald Trump has caused a lot of smart people (and a lot of less-well-educated ones) to dig up stuff from the past that they see as relevant to our current situation - and to where we may be headed in the near future.

Those who like President Trump enjoy talking about how he reminds them of Ronald Reagan, another Republican outsider, who upset liberals but ended up as a transformative president, by anyone's standard. Others see him as being like Andrew Jackson, a populist who got his...Read more

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May 17, 2016

Two FSG Clients – One Lesson

Patrick Marren
Partner

Going in two directions at once in the Panama CanalRead more

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March 07, 2016

Trump Scenarios

Patrick Marren
Partner

A number of outlets have beaten us to the punch and put forward a variety of scenarios for our nation's future under President Donald Trump. 

First off, the Brookings Institution has three Trump scenarios, written by Philip A. Wallach, Senior Fellow in Governance Studies. They are entitled "America Made Great Again: Trump as Figurehead and Negotiator;" "Congress Made Great Again: Trump's Failure and the Return of America's First Branch;" and "Just Sad:...Read more

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February 17, 2016

Scenario Planning and Alternative Futures

Peter Kennedy
Partner

Uncluttering the jargon that describes what we do.Read more

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July 31, 2015

Farewell to a Friend and Colleague

Peter Kennedy
Managing Principal

It is with heartfelt sadness that we note the sudden passing of our good friend and FSG colleague Mark Safford in late July.Read more

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March 31, 2015

This Never Happened

Patrick Marren
Partner

Future scenarios require a past, because there's no data about the future.Read more

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February 04, 2015

Future Anti-Vaccinators

Patrick Marren
Partner

Opposition to proven preventive measures is not a left-right issue - and metaphorically, it also affects a lot of businesses. 

In the past few days, a mighty attempt has been made by various Media Creatures to shoehorn a controversy over a measles outbreak and non-vaccination of children into yet another left-right bipolar fight.

The trouble is, this issue truly does not conform to the kind of simplistic Manichaean...Read more

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