February 17, 2016

Scenario Planning and Alternative Futures

Peter Kennedy
Partner

Uncluttering the jargon that describes what we do.Read more

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March 31, 2015

This Never Happened

Patrick Marren
Partner

Future scenarios require a past, because there's no data about the future.Read more

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January 06, 2015

New Year Scenario Irony Alert

Patrick Marren
Partner

2015 is starting out as a year of unexpected paradoxes and amusing contradictions.

1. The Dow Jones Industrial Average is plunging because Americans are no longer being forced to take out mortgages to fill their gas tanks, and those nice guys Vladimir Putin, the Chavistas in Venezuela, and the Iranian cleric-dictators are being put in a tough spot. It's almost as though maybe Wall Street doesn't have the same interests as the average American.

2. A new Republican Congress is...Read more

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December 11, 2014

A Purely Cognitive Argument Against "Enhanced Interrogation Techniques"

Patrick Marren
Partner

Why torture almost certainly can't work in the real world.Read more

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August 26, 2014

ISIS, Hitler, Orwell

Patrick Marren
Partner

A war with no "good" side. Read more

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February 04, 2014

The Future Mental Olympics?

Patrick Marren
Partner

David Brooks has a column today about the effect computing technology might have on the sorts of intellectual skills humans will value in the future.

"We're clearly heading into an age of brilliant technology. Computers are already impressively good at guiding driverless cars and beating humans at chess and Jeopardy. ...[C]omputers are increasingly going to be able to perform important parts of even mostly cognitive jobs, like picking stocks, diagnosing diseases and granting parole. ......Read more

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March 14, 2013

3/14 Scenario Nuggets from History

Patrick Marren
Partner

You may be done with the past, but the past is not done with scenarios.Read more

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March 13, 2013

March the Unlucky Through History

Patrick Marren
Partner

If these things had not happened on March 13 in the past, they might have made darned good scenarios.Read more

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March 12, 2013

Scenario Fodder: March 12

Patrick Marren
Partner

Your breakfast of scenario planning fodder is served.Read more

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March 09, 2013

March 9: Scenario Tidbits

Patrick Marren
Partner

March 9th, if you can't march tenth or eleventh. Read more

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