December 05, 2014

Should We Be Worried about Plunging Oil Prices?

Peter Kennedy
Partner

What's not to like about the dramatic fall in world oil prices?  Here are some things to watch. 

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September 15, 2014

Lessons from Scenario Planning

Patrick Marren
Partner

Some things we've learned in several decades of scenario planning.Read more

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April 07, 2014

Unknown Unknowns, Scenarios and Strategic Judgment

Peter Kennedy
Partner

Errol Morris’s documentary on Donald Rumsfeld is in the theatres. The film, plus a companion four-part series on the former secretary of defense in the The New York Times, raises interesting questions about knowledge, uncertainty and corporate strategy.

  

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October 16, 2013

2012 (and 2011) Redux

Patrick Marren
Partner

Another blast from the past for your enjoyment, as we twiddle our thumbs as Washington flicks lit matches around a gunpowder factory, just as it did at the end of 2012 and in mid-2011 (and will do again next year).

http://www.futuresstrategygroup.com/blog/pmarren/scenario-planning-bulletin

 

A SCENARIO PLANNING BULLETIN from your SCENARIO CONSULTANTS:

In the classic game theory situation in which no one has anything to gain from looking...Read more

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October 10, 2013

What, Us Worry?

Patrick Marren
Partner

The Financial Times has a story that causes our eyebrows to rise well above half-mast this morning.

 

With Greek banks' splendid history of rigorous management and Wall Street hedge funds' impeccable eye for risk and record of spreading nothing but goodness and light in countries in which they invest, what could possibly go wrong? 

(Greek government representatives Timeo Danaos & Dona Ferentes have assured...Read more

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September 10, 2013

Every Day Is September 10

Patrick Marren
Partner

Happy Future Scenarios Awareness Day.Read more

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August 02, 2013

How Doctors - and We - Think

Patrick Marren
Partner

Scenarios are like second, third, fourth and fifth opinions.Read more

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July 15, 2013

Scenario Planning for the "Overexamined" Life

Patrick Marren
Partner

"It's rampant narcissism!" our client said last week, exasperated. Read more

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June 27, 2013

Two Very Bad Scenario Planning Data Points

Patrick Marren
Partner

Illinois and Ireland and the downside of austerity.Read more

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March 05, 2013

5 March: Historical Scenarios

Patrick Marren
Partner

Things that happened on March 5 knowledge of which might spark some ideas for scenario planning.Read more

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