January 29, 2019

Capitalism and the Long Term

Gerard Smith
Managing Principal

The stability of capitalism is threatened by an excessive focus on the short-term. The long term must be a part of decision making, and scenario planning can help.

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May 10, 2019

“The Past is the Only Thing We Know”

Peter Kennedy
Managing Principal

The iconoclastic historian John Lukacs, who died this week, was skeptical of the value of prognostication. So is FSG. 

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December 19, 2018

Looking Back on the Year

Peter Kennedy
Managing Principal

We wish our clients, collaborators and friends happy holidays and a prosperous New Year. 

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December 06, 2018

Alternative Crispr Futures

Peter Kennedy
Managing Principal

We're not yet to designer babies or Gattica, but those futures are no longer science fiction. 

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August 08, 2018

Capturing Scenario Planning Value

Peter Kennedy
Managing Principal

With any strategic planning exercise, maintaining momentum through the implemention phase can be a challenge.  Here are some important insights we've picked up along the way. 

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December 13, 2017

Scenario Planning for Big Tech and Big Media

Peter Kennedy
Managing Principal

Are we nearing a tipping point?  

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October 11, 2017

40 million people go missing in the future

Gerard Smith
Managing Principal

Demographics, unlike many other scenario-planning factors, is not prone to serious uncertainty, right?  Hang on...

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October 11, 2017

Older and Wiser?

Gerard Smith
Managing Principal

This is the second of two pieces about demography, focusing on another aspect, less to do with the population’s overall size than with its structure -  specifically the changing composition by age group....

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April 27, 2017

A Hypothesis about Working-Class Rage

Patrick Marren
Principal
Why are ordinary people revolting? Maybe...prediction?
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April 25, 2017

The Wrong Way to Use History

Patrick Marren
Principal

There have been a lot of historical analogies being thrown around lately.

The presidency of Donald Trump has caused a lot of smart people (and a lot of less-well-educated ones) to dig up stuff from the past that they see as relevant to our current situation - and to where we may be headed in the near future.

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