August 26, 2014

ISIS, Hitler, Orwell

Patrick Marren
Partner

A war with no "good" side. Read more

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June 28, 2014

One Hundred Years Ago Today

Patrick Marren
Partner

100 years ago today, according to a late friend of ours.Read more

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April 04, 2014

The Biggest Economic Trend of Our Lifetimes

Patrick Marren
Partner

Has no one noticed the main fact about our country over the past 13 years?

A couple of years ago I wrote an article entitled Strategy's Main Failure: The Extermination of Livelihood.

In it, I came up with the hypothesis that much of what has passed for "strategy" the past decade or more had actually been about cost cutting, and in particular, cost-cutting of the largest line-item: labor. 

Unfortunately, when every company decides it's time to...Read more

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February 21, 2014

US Consumer Scenarios: How Are We Doing?

Peter Kennedy
Partner

The economy in 2014 is certainly on a much stronger footing than it was a few years ago, but is this as good as it will get for the U.S. consumer?Read more

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November 22, 2013

JFK + 50: Alternative Scenarios

Patrick Marren
Partner

A few thoughts on this anniversary...

If JFK had lived:

1. He had started back-channel communications with Castro a few weeks before his death, so our relations with Cuba might have been very different.

2. He had also begun discussions with his advisors about an exit strategy from Vietnam. Some experts think he would have stayed in Vietnam; others, including some of his closest advisors, think he would have gotten out in a second term. It seems unlikely that he would have escalated as aggressively as LBJ.

3. If JFK had lived, it is extremely doubtful that either...Read more

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September 10, 2013

Every Day Is September 10

Patrick Marren
Partner

Happy Future Scenarios Awareness Day.Read more

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August 28, 2013

Mideast Scenarios, or "Damn, We're Good"

Patrick Marren
Partner

Where will the Arab Spring and Syria take the Middle East? Well, we kind of called it in 2011.Read more

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August 02, 2013

How Doctors - and We - Think

Patrick Marren
Partner

Scenarios are like second, third, fourth and fifth opinions.Read more

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July 15, 2013

Scenario Planning for the "Overexamined" Life

Patrick Marren
Partner

"It's rampant narcissism!" our client said last week, exasperated. Read more

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June 27, 2013

Two Very Bad Scenario Planning Data Points

Patrick Marren
Partner

Illinois and Ireland and the downside of austerity.Read more

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