August 28, 2012

Scenario Planning and Truth

Peter Kennedy
Partner

The essential value of scenario planning is not just about constructing cool futuristic stories to “get the client thinking outside the box.” Read more

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August 09, 2012

Scenario Planning: Mid-2012 FSG Round-Up

Peter Kennedy
Managing Principal

It’s been a busy summer for FSG scenario consulting, with several projects running at high-speed, another couple about to be launched, and a steadily building proposal pipeline.  Does this mean a new surge of interest in scenario planning?  Could be.

What’s clear is that there’s an impressive amount of uncertainty in the air, with a seemingly toss-up US presidential election, a still unresolved Euro debt situation, the unknowable but huge consequences of the Supreme Court’s health care decision, and the increasing risk of another recession if Congress and the administration cannot...Read more

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June 27, 2012

Scenario Planning Economic Insights: Frank Newman's "Six Myths" Reviewed

Peter Kennedy
Managing Principal

FSG partner Charles Perrottet has initiated a series of FSG Outlook blog entries exploring Frank Newman's recent book Six Myths That Hold Back America. Six Myths is a thought-provoking and useful read for scenario planning purposes, as it poses alternative interpretations of today's big economic and financial dilemmas. As scenario consultants, we greatly value this kind of...Read more

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June 27, 2012

Scenario Planning Economic Insights: Frank Newman's "Six Myths" Reviewed

Peter Kennedy
Managing Principal

FSG's Charles Perrottet has initiated a series of FSG Outlook blog entries discussing Frank Newman's recent book Six Myths That Hold Back America.  Six Myths is an extremely useful read for scenario planning purposes, as it poses alternative interpretations of critical economic and financial issues, which the author feels are widely misunderstood in the popular press.  Newman is a former bank CEO who served in senior Treasury Department roles before becoming...Read more

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June 07, 2012

Scenario Consulting to Go

Peter Kennedy
Managing Principal

It’s been said – and it’s still true – that scenario planning is most valuable as a tool to deliver strategic insights for longer-term planning. But in recent years, with the accelerating pace of change (and the increased recognition of such), private sector executives have tended to pass on in-depth strategic exercises in favor of what most would consider to be business planning. FSG believes this is a mistake, and that the need for thinking rigorously about what lies “around the corner” is always valuable, especially in turbulent times. But we understand the pressures companies are under...Read more

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June 07, 2012

Scenario Consulting to Go

Peter Kennedy
Managing Principal

It’s been said – and it’s still true – that scenario planning is most valuable as a tool to deliver strategic insights for longer-term planning. But in recent years, with the accelerating pace of change (and the increased recognition of such), private sector executives have tended to pass on in-depth strategic exercises in favor of what most would consider to be business planning. FSG believes this is a mistake, and that the need for thinking rigorously about what lies “around the corner” is always valuable, especially in turbulent times. But we understand the pressures companies are under...Read more

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May 24, 2012

Scenario Planning for Global Trade & Logistics

Peter Kennedy
Managing Principal

In mid-May, FSG principals facilitated a scenario-planning exercise for the Port Commerce Department of the Port Authority of New York & New Jersey. Under the guidance of FSG and our partner, Cargo Velocity, some 60 workshop participants devoted three days to exploring the strategic implications of five alternative future operating environments for maritime trade and logistics. Scenario planning is part of a broader Port Commerce effort known as Project Port Horizon to think proactively about, and begin to prepare for, emerging...Read more

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October 01, 2011

Update on Coast Guard Project Evergreen

Peter Kennedy
Managing Principal

FSG scenario consultants had a busy summer facilitating scenario workshops. In June, FSG ran the second of two Evergreen scenario-planning workshops for the U.S. Coast Guard this calendar year. Evergreen, the Coast Guard’s long-term strategy and strategic-renewal process, is now in its third continuous cycle.Read more

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October 01, 2011

Internet's Imprint on Journalism

Peter Kennedy
Managing Principal

FSG Associate Gerard Smith spent an afternoon with a class at Northwestern University’s Medill School of Journalism in Chicago, presenting some thought-provoking trend analysis on the impact of the Internet on the business model of journalism. The apparent breakdown of the legacy model of advertising paying the freight for print and broadcast content was the main subject of quite an interesting exchange with the very bright graduate journalism students of Professor William Handy. Principal Patrick Marren also sat in on the session.Read more

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April 01, 2011

Revolution in the Middle East and North Africa: Some Notional Scenarios to Ponder

Peter Kennedy
Partner

by Patrick Marren and Peter Kennedy

Prediction is Difficult, Especially About the Future — Attributed to many

A wave of revolution is sweeping North Africa and the Middle East. Many people want to know what is going to happen next. Will it be good for the United States or bad? Will it result in peace-loving democracies or America-hating Islamist dictatorships? No one knows. It is important to remember at this moment that not even a single movement in a single country has yet achieved anything approaching what we would call “democracy.” The present is chaotic and...Read more

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