December 11, 2014

A Purely Cognitive Argument Against "Enhanced Interrogation Techniques"

Patrick Marren
Partner

Why torture almost certainly can't work in the real world.

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December 05, 2014

Should We Be Worried about Plunging Oil Prices?

Peter Kennedy
Partner

What's not to like about the dramatic fall in world oil prices?  Here are some things to watch. 

 
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October 24, 2014

Why Driverless Cars Are Still Not

Peter Kennedy
Partner

Autonomous vehicle technology has made great strides, but a fascinating confluence of non-technology factors continues to inhibit the sector.

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September 22, 2014

What if Thomas Piketty is Right about Inequality?

Peter Kennedy
Partner

A FSG conversation on one of the most important economic questions of our time.

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September 15, 2014

Lessons from Scenario Planning

Patrick Marren
Partner

Some things we've learned in several decades of scenario planning.

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August 26, 2014

ISIS, Hitler, Orwell

Patrick Marren
Partner

A war with no "good" side. 

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June 28, 2014

One Hundred Years Ago Today

Patrick Marren
Partner

100 years ago today, according to a late friend of ours.

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April 07, 2014

Unknown Unknowns, Scenarios and Strategic Judgment

Peter Kennedy
Partner

Errol Morris’s documentary on Donald Rumsfeld is in the theatres. The film, plus a companion four-part series on the former secretary of defense in the The New York Times, raises interesting questions about knowledge, uncertainty and corporate strategy.

  

 
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April 04, 2014

The Biggest Economic Trend of Our Lifetimes

Patrick Marren
Partner

Has no one noticed the main fact about our country over the past 13 years?

A couple of years ago I wrote an article entitled Strategy's Main Failure: The Extermination of Livelihood.

In it, I came up with the hypothesis that much of what has passed for "strategy" the past decade or more had actually been about cost cutting, and in particular, cost-cutting of the largest line-item: labor. 

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March 09, 2014

Scenario Perspectives on California Drought

Peter Kennedy
Partner

Is the current California drought about climate change or some periodically recurring rainfall shortage?  The experts don't agree.  Which is why planners affected by this situation should rigorously think through multiple scenarios -- and their implications.

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