March 23, 2017

FSG Scenario Planning Workshop with Rhode Island Fisheries

Peter Kennedy
Managing Principal

Scenario planning is an enjoyable and stimulating endeavor, endlessly interesting and always rewarding —to a large extent because its usefulness is in decision making under uncertainty.

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March 14, 2017

Designing the Office of Strategic Need

By Kevin McDermott, Founder of Collective Intelligence and FSG Associate, and Charles Thomas, FSG Managing Principal
FSG support

Organizations are managed by people who acquired expertise from experience in an existing operating environment. But operating environments change unrelentingly.  How does one get out ahead of this change?

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December 22, 2016

FSG and Scenario Planning in 2017

Peter Kennedy
Managing Principal
There must be some way out of here

Said the joker to the thief

There’s just too much confusion

I can’t get no relief.

 

-Bob Dylan, 2016 Nobel Prize Winner for Literature

“All Along the Watchtower”

What a year it’s been.  And there’s still a week left.  How many wild cards, Black Swans, once-a-century events...

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November 16, 2016

Hate to Say We Told You So...

Patrick Marren
Principal

But we told you so.

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October 18, 2016

Nate Silver Is A Rigged System

Patrick Marren
Principal

It's not that he's wrong. It's that Presidential elections are not baseball.

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October 13, 2016

Fall 2016 Scenario Planning Update

Peter Kennedy
Managing Principal

Scenario planning has never been more challenging – or important.

 

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October 03, 2016

Undecideds have decided. Game over?

Gerard Smith
Managing Principal

There’s actually less volatility in the polls than you might think. 

Virtually everything about election polls is anathema to scenario planners. Pollsters are concerned with the short term, and however much their reports are hedged, present a false precision to forecasts of uncertain outcomes. They have also been famously wrong, and are likely to become less and less reliable as response rates continue to fall. And yet, so extraordinary...

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June 28, 2016

Brexit scenarios, and the surprises still lurking

Futures Strategy Group Principals
Partner

Assessing the risks of massive global disruption

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June 13, 2016

The future, after Orlando

Charles Thomas, Managing Principal

What’s left to say?

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June 01, 2016

Don’t fight the future, whatever it turns out to be

By Kevin McDermott, Founder of Collective Intelligence and FSG Associate, and Charles Thomas, FSG Managing Principal

The highest barrier to managing strategic change is often the very success of today’s business model.

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