December 31, 2015

Some Upbeat Scenarios for 2016

Peter Kennedy
Partner

When it comes to feel-good scenarios about the future, FSG scenario planners tend to be a circumspect bunch.  Still, on the occasion of New Year's, we're not beyond putting a positive spin on current events.  Here's what gives us hope...Read more

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December 10, 2015

Winding Down 2015

Peter Kennedy
Managing Principal

We wish all our clients, friends and collaborators a wonderful holiday season and a successful and rewarding 2016.  We look forward to staying in touch.Read more

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July 31, 2015

Farewell to a Friend and Colleague

Peter Kennedy
Managing Principal

It is with heartfelt sadness that we note the sudden passing of our good friend and FSG colleague Mark Safford in late July.Read more

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July 23, 2015

Article on Preparing for Acquisitions - and Scenarios

Patrick Marren
Partner

An article in Acquisitions International by Joseph Feldman has a bit to say about using scenario planning in acquisitions.

The article (see link) begins on p. 13.Read more

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July 16, 2015

Multiple Alternative Future Scenarios Wanted

Patrick Marren
Partner

What to do when Nobel-winning economists disagree? Create alternative scenarios, of course.

The Greek Vouli (Parliament) just approved a series of tough reform measures meant to mollify their creditors and allow it to stay in the euro zone. 

This follows a referendum in which the Greek people rejected as...Read more

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May 12, 2015

A Gigantic Missed Opportunity?

Patrick Marren
Partner

This week may mark the passing of a great national opportunity for the United States.Read more

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April 09, 2015

An Implausible (But True?) Interest Rate Scenario

Patrick Marren
Partner

Interesting stuff from Brad DeLong​, possibly explaining much of the last decade of economic weirdness:

"You may say: A 10-year nominal Treasury bond rate no higher than inflation is supposed to be the current value of the natural interest-rate? Good God! That is absurd! Something is wrong with our economy, and wrong at a much deeper level than a simple shortage relative to demand of the supply of safe-and-liquid-store-of-value assets that can be hoarded! It makes no...Read more

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March 31, 2015

This Never Happened

Patrick Marren
Partner

Future scenarios require a past, because there's no data about the future.Read more

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March 09, 2015

Scenarios for the Future of Medicine

Peter Kennedy
Managing Principal

For almost two years, FSG has been exploring the future of medicine and medical education, in support of the administration and board of the Accreditation Council for Graduate Medical Education (ACGME). As noted previously in these pages, FSG developed a set of four ‘future of medicine’ scenarios and facilitated a series of scenario-planning workshops to help guide ACGME strategic decisions at a time of significant uncertainty. Among the insights to emerge from the ACGME workshops were:

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February 09, 2015

A Most Ironic Scenario

Patrick Marren
Partner

Some perspective from 93 years ago on Greece threatening not to pay back its monstrous debt to German and other banks.Read more

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