April 10, 2014

Transportation in 2050

Peter Kennedy
Managing Principal

FSG associate Mark Safford takes a shot at describing what transportation could look like in 2050.Read more

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April 07, 2014

Unknown Unknowns, Scenarios and Strategic Judgment

Peter Kennedy
Partner

Errol Morris’s documentary on Donald Rumsfeld is in the theatres. The film, plus a companion four-part series on the former secretary of defense in the The New York Times, raises interesting questions about knowledge, uncertainty and corporate strategy.

  

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April 04, 2014

The Biggest Economic Trend of Our Lifetimes

Patrick Marren
Partner

Has no one noticed the main fact about our country over the past 13 years?

A couple of years ago I wrote an article entitled Strategy's Main Failure: The Extermination of Livelihood.

In it, I came up with the hypothesis that much of what has passed for "strategy" the past decade or more had actually been about cost cutting, and in particular, cost-cutting of the largest line-item: labor. 

Unfortunately, when every company decides it's time to...Read more

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March 30, 2014

Scenario-Planning Alumni Spotlight: Manoj Saxena

Peter Kennedy
Managing Principal

FSG recently caught up with Manoj Saxena, a former scenario-planning client who is now founding General Partner of The Entrepreneur's Fund. Read more

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March 09, 2014

Scenario Perspectives on California Drought

Peter Kennedy
Partner

Is the current California drought about climate change or some periodically recurring rainfall shortage?  The experts don't agree.  Which is why planners affected by this situation should rigorously think through multiple scenarios -- and their implications.Read more

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February 21, 2014

US Consumer Scenarios: How Are We Doing?

Peter Kennedy
Partner

The economy in 2014 is certainly on a much stronger footing than it was a few years ago, but is this as good as it will get for the U.S. consumer?Read more

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February 04, 2014

Scenario Planning Best Practices

Peter Kennedy
Managing Principal

The 3.0 edition of Creating and Sustaining Strategic Intent in the U.S. Coast Guard has now been released. FSG worked with the Coast Guard in developing the content and case studies for the publication.Read more

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February 04, 2014

The Future Mental Olympics?

Patrick Marren
Partner

David Brooks has a column today about the effect computing technology might have on the sorts of intellectual skills humans will value in the future.

"We're clearly heading into an age of brilliant technology. Computers are already impressively good at guiding driverless cars and beating humans at chess and Jeopardy. ...[C]omputers are increasingly going to be able to perform important parts of even mostly cognitive jobs, like picking stocks, diagnosing diseases and granting parole. ......Read more

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January 28, 2014

Scenario Planning Bible

Patrick Marren
Partner

The U.S. Coast Guard releases version 3.0 of Creating and Sustaining Strategic Intent in the U.S. Coast Guard.Read more

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January 06, 2014

Positive Economic Scenarios for 2014

Peter Kennedy
Partner

At the start of 2014, the U.S. economy is looking brighter than it has been since the onset of the financial crisis.  But should we still be worried?Read more

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