Intelligent Technology and the Coming Liability Crisis
Intelligent technologies are so woven into our lives that we no longer see them. They are not us. Yet we permit them to decide for us…
New Thinking
23 and Me, You, Everything
Biology is not destiny, but the field of genomics is chock full of powerful implications — for science, medicine, commerce, society and just about anything we can think of.
A Hypothesis about Working-Class Rage
Why are ordinary people revolting? Maybe…prediction?
Designing the Office of Strategic Need
Organizations are managed by people who acquired expertise from experience in an existing operating environment. But operating environments change unrelentingly. How does one get out ahead of this change?
This Never Happened
Future scenarios require a past, because there's no data about the future.
How We Might Not Have Gotten to Now
Steven Johnson’s How We Got to Now – and why we might not get to Then.
The Inevitable Not Happening?
The importance of including the seemingly impossible when writing scenarios.
Scenario Planning for the “Overexamined” Life
"It's rampant narcissism!" our client said last week, exasperated.
The Valley of the Shadow
WIll the great institutions of society learn how to live with transparency before transparency destroys them?
400-Word Scenario #10: Fiscal Ramp to Prosperity
February 14, 2013 [Wolf News/MSDNC]: In a Valentine’s Day miracle, Congress and the administration today reached a long-term deal on the debt ceiling, taxes, and fiscal reform,