Texas, Tennessee and a Tipping Point on Guns?
Some early signs of change.
Signals: Is the future of Texas the US’ future?
It’s a complicated question.
Signals: Homeowner’s Insurance, China and Hyperbole
Shorter reflections on some things in the news, from a distinctly FSG perspective.
Hopeful 2023 Scenario Bits
Happy Holidays!
The Continuity Trap
Eluding it requires rigorous imagination…
The Futility of Expert Prediction
We need less certainty, wider imaginations.
Scanning the Horizon: How to Upset Your Settled Opinions
…and manage future risk and uncertainty
We Need a Positive Economic Scenario Right About Now
FSG economist Robert Avila considers what could go right.
Confessions of an Engineer
…in a complex, non-linear world
Thriving in the Uncertainty Space
It’s seldom prudent to wait until the skies clear. They rarely do.