We need less certainty, wider imaginations.
…and manage future risk and uncertainty
FSG economist Robert Avila considers what could go right.
…in a complex, non-linear world
It’s seldom prudent to wait until the skies clear. They rarely do.
There’s climate change. And there’s the equally messy social-political-economic contexts in which it will all play out.
Even supposedly stable systems can be unpredictable — often because human behavior makes them that way.
We need this now. Happy Holidays!
Even brilliant authors tend to underestimate the complexity of the future.
To do over the horizon scanning, you need to start by seeing what is on the horizon.