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Intelligent Technology and the Coming Liability Crisis

Intelligent technologies are so woven into our lives that we no longer see them.  They are not us.  Yet we permit them to decide for us... Read more

FSG 2018 Holiday Wrap-Up

We wish our clients, collaborators and friends happy holidays and a prosperous New Year.  Read more

Alternative Crispr Futures

We're not yet to designer babies or Gattica, but those futures are no longer science fiction.  Read more

Capturing Scenario Planning Value

With any strategic planning exercise, maintaining momentum through the implemention phase can be a challenge.  Here are some important insights we've picked up along the way.  Read more

23 and Me, You, Everything

Biology is not destiny, but the field of genomics is chock full of powerful implications -- for science, medicine, commerce, society and just about anything we can think of. Read more

FSG 2017 Holiday Wrap-Up

FSG scenario consultants are wrapping up a busy and stimulating 2017, and we have lots of news to share. Read more

Scenario Planning for Big Tech and Big Media

Are we nearing a tipping point? Read more

Scenario Planning for Sustainability

Alternative futures to make sustainability mainstream Read more

40 million people go missing in the future

This is the first of two short pieces that focus on demographics. A central premise of scenario based (‘alternative futures’) strategic planning is that the future is uncertain because it is emergent—it can’t be predicted by studying individual trends, because what matters is the interaction between them; moreover many of these trends are themselves unpredictable. But some of them are not. Which brings me to demographics, because of the many forces for change that we consider in the course of our work, the size of the population and its component parts would be placed at the ‘more predictable’ end of the spectrum. We know the starting population, the birth rate, the death rate, and can reasonably estimate the annual number of immigrants and emigrants, so it ought to be possible to... Read more

Older and Wiser?

This is the second of two pieces about demography, focusing on another aspect, less to do with the population’s overall size than with its structure -  specifically the changing composition by age group.... Read more

FSG Scenario Planning Workshop with Rhode Island Fisheries

Scenario planning is an enjoyable and stimulating endeavor, endlessly interesting and always rewarding —to a large extent because its usefulness is in decision making under uncertainty. Read more

A Hypothesis about Working-Class Rage
Why are ordinary people revolting? Maybe...prediction? Read more