The post-Covid future was hostile to prediction
A backward look at post-COVID scenarios demonstrates how susceptible we can be to the fascinations of the moment.
The Future
Valuing ‘Rigorous Imagination’ in Scenario Planning
Scenario planning success requires disciplined, deliberate efforts to imagine the widest range of plausible future operating environments…
Should emerging population scenarios frighten us?
Population growth creates challenges, so does population decline. We’ll likely see both, at the same time.
FSG Signals: What are we missing?
Some big, some small, some existential in their implications…
Is strategic foresight in the US government dead?
And if so, who is left to rigorously imagine the future?
Hollywood, Girl Scouts and Cross-Impact Analysis
Why your current success may be your biggest future liability.
Are we on the cusp of an “inflection point” ?
What does that mean? And how would we know?
The complex puzzle of US population scenarios
Uncertainty around immigration, birthrates, the economy and even the environment challenge us to think about not one but multiple US population scenarios.
What Won’t Change in Our Uncertain Future?
Human nature, for one…
Remembering Ted Gordon, 1930-2024
Rocket scientist, pioneer in futures studies, humanitarian, colleague and friend