Why prediction markets are not strategy
…and why you need to trust the collective wisdom of the organization
Business
We Need a Positive Economic Scenario Right About Now
FSG economist Robert Avila considers what could go right.
Thriving in the Uncertainty Space
It’s seldom prudent to wait until the skies clear. They rarely do.
Fifty Shades of Green
There’s climate change. And there’s the equally messy social-political-economic contexts in which it will all play out.
Burnout – How Exploring Futures Can Help
A counterintuitive approach to workplace stress and weariness – aka burnout
Afghanistan & COVID: Two Ways to Be Wrong about the Future
Analysis without imagination is a guarantee of strategic surprise
Life, Death and Adaptation: How to think about the future
A narrow understanding of a business ecosystem is a constraint on imagination—and growth.
Five Future Paths for Bitcoin and Digital Currencies
Watch for hazards and detours…
So where’s my prize for thinking long term?
…and why does the short term so often win out?
Foresight, Disaster, and Texas
When it comes to disaster preparedness, no one comes out looking all that good.