Hopeful 2023 Scenario Bits
Uncluttering the jargon that describes what we do.
Future scenarios require a past, because there's no data about the future.
2015 is starting out as a year of unexpected paradoxes and amusing contradictions.
Why torture almost certainly can't work in the real world.
A war with no “good” side.
WIll the great institutions of society learn how to live with transparency before transparency destroys them?
Institutions change faster and more completely than we think. An example from some recent reading: Harvard University.
The Actual has its revenge upon the Virtual…
Scenario planning requires imagination. Everyone likes to pretend that imagination is fun and games. But really, imagination is often very difficult and painful, because it requires us not just to take incremental steps along a pre-existing path, but to make up an entirely different path.