FSG Blog

This Never Happened

Future scenarios require a past, because there's no data about the future.

The Valley of the Shadow

WIll the great institutions of society learn how to live with transparency before transparency destroys them?

De Rerum Mutandorum

Institutions change faster and more completely than we think. An example from some recent reading: Harvard University.

400-Word Scenario #1: Clawback World

Scenario planning requires imagination. Everyone likes to pretend that imagination is fun and games. But really, imagination is often very difficult and painful, because it requires us not just to take incremental steps along a pre-existing path, but to make up an entirely different path.

Silos, seams and business model reengineering

“Silos” are an inevitable part of any organization; indeed, of any human activity. Even if you confine yourself to individual action, your own mind is thinking within certain categories, usually operating off a mental model that tells you what to expect – “If I do X, then Y will happen” – and what NOT to expect – Z or W or something completely different.