FSG economist Robert Avila considers what could go right.
Is the declining birth rate evidence of a broader, more worrisome trend?
When it comes to disaster preparedness, no one comes out looking all that good.
Clients are using FSG’s capsule scenarios to jumpstart planning for a post-COVID world. Gerard Smith explains.
What’s ahead for the US after the 2020 election and beyond? Prediction is perilous. But FSG has collaborated on a set of short-term scenarios that suggest several plausible paths ahead for US politics, policy and the economy.
Demographics, unlike many other scenario-planning factors, is not prone to serious uncertainty, right? Hang on…
This is the second of two pieces about demography, focusing on another aspect, less to do with the population’s overall size than with its structure – specifically the changing composition by age group.
Why are ordinary people revolting? Maybe…prediction?
There’s actually less volatility in the polls than you might think.
Assessing the risks of massive global disruption