FSG Blog

This Never Happened

Future scenarios require a past, because there's no data about the future.

Future Anti-Vaccinators

Opposition to proven preventive measures is not a left-right issue – and metaphorically, it also affects a lot of businesses. 

In the past few days, a mighty attempt has been made by various Media Creatures to shoehorn a controversy over a measles outbreak and non-vaccination of children into yet another left-right bipolar fight.

Unknown Unknowns, Scenarios and Strategic Judgment

Errol Morris’s documentary on Donald Rumsfeld is in the theatres. The film, plus a companion four-part series on the former secretary of defense in the The New York Times, raises interesting questions about knowledge, uncertainty and corporate strategy.

  

 

Scenario Perspectives on California Drought

Is the current California drought about climate change or some periodically recurring rainfall shortage?  The experts don't agree.  Which is why planners affected by this situation should rigorously think through multiple scenarios — and their implications.