Is the Republican Party Doomed by Demographics?
In short, no. Here’s why…
Perils of Prognostication
George Floyd and the Arab Spring
Why do particular events capture the public imagination when other almost identical events have failed to do so?
Scenario Planning for a Wicked Problem – Climate Change
Wicked problems resist resolution, but as guest contributor Mark Trexler argues, the uncertainties surrounding climate change should not prevent organizations considering the implications and planning accordingly.
“The Past is the Only Thing We Know”
The iconoclastic historian John Lukacs, who died this week, was skeptical of the value of prognostication. So is FSG.
A Hypothesis about Working-Class Rage
Why are ordinary people revolting? Maybe…prediction?
The Wrong Way to Use History
There have been a lot of historical analogies being thrown around lately.
The presidency of Donald Trump has caused a lot of smart people (and a lot of less-well-educated ones) to dig up stuff from the past that they see as relevant to our current situation – and to where we may be headed in the near future.
Hate to Say We Told You So…
But we told you so.
Nate Silver Is A Rigged System
It's not that he's wrong. It's that Presidential elections are not baseball.
Undecideds have decided. Game over?
There’s actually less volatility in the polls than you might think.
Don’t fight the future, whatever it turns out to be
The highest barrier to managing strategic change is often the very success of today’s business model.