AI in Scenario Planning: Promise and Challenges
AI in scenario planning was an inevitable development. Does it help or hinder the effectiveness of scenario use in strategy development and execution?
Decision-making and Judgment
Hollywood, Girl Scouts and Cross-Impact Analysis
Why your current success may be your biggest future liability.
Are we on the cusp of an “inflection point” ?
What does that mean? And how would we know?
Everything is predictable. Not.
Bayesian analysis has its place – but not in real strategy development
Anticipating the Human Factors in a Scenario Planning Experience
At the end of the day, it’s about having the right people committed to the project.
AI Scenarios: Getting Beyond Our Reflex to Imagine the Worst
The complex AI future requires it…
Signals: Is the future of Texas the US’ future?
It’s a complicated question.
Scanning the Horizon: How to Upset Your Settled Opinions
…and manage future risk and uncertainty
Confessions of an Engineer
…in a complex, non-linear world
Thriving in the Uncertainty Space
It’s seldom prudent to wait until the skies clear. They rarely do.