AI Scenarios: Getting Beyond Our Reflex to Imagine the Worst
The complex AI future requires it…
Decision-making and Judgment
Signals: Is the future of Texas the US’ future?
It’s a complicated question.
Scanning the Horizon: How to Upset Your Settled Opinions
…and manage future risk and uncertainty
Confessions of an Engineer
…in a complex, non-linear world
Thriving in the Uncertainty Space
It’s seldom prudent to wait until the skies clear. They rarely do.
Fifty Shades of Green
There’s climate change. And there’s the equally messy social-political-economic contexts in which it will all play out.
Don’t Expect the Future to be Rational
Even supposedly stable systems can be unpredictable — often because human behavior makes them that way.
What is Horizon Scanning? And what does it really tell us about the future?
To do over the horizon scanning, you need to start by seeing what is on the horizon.
Life, Death and Adaptation: How to think about the future
A narrow understanding of a business ecosystem is a constraint on imagination—and growth.
Strategic foresight requires imagination, rigor and (often) courage
Think hard before taking thorny issues off the table.