The Boston Marathon Bombing, Al Gore, Byron Reese, and Scenario Planning
While the surreal drama of the Marathon Bombing and the subsequent manhunt was going on last week, I was reading two books about the future.
Decision-making and Judgment
Scenario Planning: Warren Buffett, Gottfried von Leibniz, Blaise Pascal, and Peter Bernstein
Why these people would think scenario planning was awesome.
De Rerum Mutandorum
Institutions change faster and more completely than we think. An example from some recent reading: Harvard University.
Thirteen: Year of Magical Thinking
Too many hands.
2012: Five Inevitable Things That Did Not Happen
Five things that were "bound to occur," away from which we rashly predict the media will moonwalk at warp speed in 2013.
A Scenario Planning Bulletin
Hot Breaking News on the Fiscal Cliff!
Coastal Reconstruction Scenario Planning: Superstorm Sandy and the Retreat Option
Sometimes leaders do not have the luxury of taking the long view; sometimes high-impact events compel hard decisions to be made now.
Idea-less in Gaza
Now that the happy horserace of the election is over, on to some grimmer scenarios.
Scenario Planning, Hurricane Sandy, and Relationships
This has been a ridiculously busy and stressful week for three of our recent scenario-based strategic planning clients: the United States Coast Guard, the Port Authority of New York and New Jersey, and the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA).
Nate Silver and Data-Recency Bias
One more thought provoked by Nate Silver’s thought-provoking The Signal and the Noise.