This has been a ridiculously busy and stressful week for three of our recent scenario-based strategic planning clients: the United States Coast Guard, the Port Authority of New York and New Jersey, and the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA).
One more thought provoked by Nate Silver’s thought-provoking The Signal and the Noise.
Nate Silver’s book The Signal and the Noise makes a darned good case for scenario-based strategic planning…
Print newspapers seem to be going away. What happens when they do? It's not all about ink and paper.
Ladies and gentlemen, I have 400 words of bad news: we may look back on 2012 as “the good old days of political cooperation.”
After decades of trying to help clients anticipate the widest range of plausible possible future events, the following quote rings quite true to us: “Those who know more forecast very slightly better than those who know less. But those with the most knowledge are often least reliable.”
The Actual has its revenge upon the Virtual…
A hypothesis: our current terrible state of political dialogue could be an equilibrium that satisfies far deeper emotional longings than any consensus ever could.
A future scenario of mass wealth redistribution to a generation that just did not save enough for retirement.
July 21, 2042 (Fox/MSNBC News): The nation reacted with a mix of horror, outrage, calls for new laws, and debate over the Second Amendment as the scale of the latest mass murder came into focus over the past two days.