Strategic Surprise: When systems stop working
…and there’s no plan.
Uncategorized
Seven Lessons for Scenario Planning
Take it from our deep experience.
Texas, Tennessee and a Tipping Point on Guns?
Some early signs of change.
Signals: Is the future of Texas the US’ future?
It’s a complicated question.
Signals: Homeowner’s Insurance, China and Hyperbole
Shorter reflections on some things in the news, from a distinctly FSG perspective.
The Continuity Trap
Eluding it requires rigorous imagination…
The Futility of Expert Prediction
We need less certainty, wider imaginations.
Scanning the Horizon: How to Upset Your Settled Opinions
…and manage future risk and uncertainty
What is Horizon Scanning? And what does it really tell us about the future?
To do over the horizon scanning, you need to start by seeing what is on the horizon.
Lessons from Afghanistan: Contingency Planning for “Unlikely” Scenarios
Being prepared for all high-impact surprises