The post-Covid future was hostile to prediction
A backward look at post-COVID scenarios demonstrates how susceptible we can be to the fascinations of the moment.
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Should emerging population scenarios frighten us?
Population growth creates challenges, so does population decline. We’ll likely see both, at the same time.
FSG Signals: What are we missing?
Some big, some small, some existential in their implications…
Is strategic foresight in the US government dead?
And if so, who is left to rigorously imagine the future?
Roots of Cross-Impact Analysis in Strategic Foresight
This is the start of a series of FSG strategic foresight blogs on what we call cross-impact analysis. More than a single, discrete methodology, it’s a way of thinking about the future that looks beyond the trends that in the present moment appear all-defining and permanent. In this initial entry FSG senior advisor (and founding …
Remembering Charles Perrottet, 1944-2025
2025 begins for us on a very sad note, since we will have to carry on without a great and useful colleague, friend, and human being, Charles Perrottet, who passed away January 3.
The complex puzzle of US population scenarios
Uncertainty around immigration, birthrates, the economy and even the environment challenge us to think about not one but multiple US population scenarios.
What Won’t Change in Our Uncertain Future?
Human nature, for one…
The Teleporting Value of Scenario Planning
Imagining alternative futures
Remembering Ted Gordon, 1930-2024
Rocket scientist, pioneer in futures studies, humanitarian, colleague and friend