Our unique approach to scenario planning, corporate strategy and futures analysis yields measurable results.

2020 US Presidential Scenarios

There are few if any events as consequential for the future as a US presidential election. In early 2020 FSG principals created four short-term US presidential scenarios exploring a range of plausible political and policy outcomes for the next four years. These were not predictions or forecasts; rather they were alternative narratives about how events in …

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Health Care Scenarios: Selected Insights from ACGME’s Strategic Planning

If any US industry begs for scenario planning, it is health care.  Demographics, technology, government finances, provider mega-mergers and changing public expectations are converging in complex and unpredictable ways. The only thing we know for certain is that the future health care environment will look very different than it does today. Executives need to think systematically …

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Strategic Intent in the Coast Guard

The Coast Guard publication, Creating and Sustaining Strategic Intent in the US Coast Guard, is the culmination of a multi-year collaboration with FSG. You can download the 2013 edition here.    

Presidential Election Scenarios

So many of life's most crucial decisions have to be made by non-experts about things they cannot possibly understand to any degree of completeness.

Because It’s There

Wade Davis, an anthropologist, recently published Into the Silence: The Great War, Mallory and the Conquest of Everest. It holds lessons not only for mountaineers and other adventure travelers, but also for other realms of human endeavor, business and strategy in particular.  

Obsolete Habiliments

Quick quiz.  See if you can identify the two people talking about each other in the following two sentences: "Morally and philosophically, I find myself in agreement with virtually the whole of it; and not only in agreement but deeply moved agreement.” "[He was] the one really great man I ever knew, and for whom I had unbounded admiration."