Are You Making Choices Right Now? Or Just Reacting to Whatever Happens Next?
Why foresight is essential, especially in the middle of a crisis.
Decision-making and Judgment
Scenario Planning for a Wicked Problem – Climate Change
Wicked problems resist resolution, but as guest contributor Mark Trexler argues, the uncertainties surrounding climate change should not prevent organizations considering the implications and planning accordingly.
Scenario Planning for Sustainability
Scenario planning and alternative futures are powerful tools for building corporate consensus around sustainability policies.
A Hypothesis about Working-Class Rage
Why are ordinary people revolting? Maybe…prediction?
The Wrong Way to Use History
There have been a lot of historical analogies being thrown around lately.
The presidency of Donald Trump has caused a lot of smart people (and a lot of less-well-educated ones) to dig up stuff from the past that they see as relevant to our current situation – and to where we may be headed in the near future.
Designing the Office of Strategic Need
Organizations are managed by people who acquired expertise from experience in an existing operating environment. But operating environments change unrelentingly. How does one get out ahead of this change?
Hate to Say We Told You So…
But we told you so.
Nate Silver Is A Rigged System
It's not that he's wrong. It's that Presidential elections are not baseball.
Don’t fight the future, whatever it turns out to be
The highest barrier to managing strategic change is often the very success of today’s business model.