Confessions of an Engineer
…in a complex, non-linear world
Scenarios
Thriving in the Uncertainty Space
It’s seldom prudent to wait until the skies clear. They rarely do.
Fifty Shades of Green
There’s climate change. And there’s the equally messy social-political-economic contexts in which it will all play out.
Don’t Expect the Future to be Rational
Even supposedly stable systems can be unpredictable — often because human behavior makes them that way.
Harari’s Stumble on the Future
Even brilliant authors tend to underestimate the complexity of the future.
What is Horizon Scanning? And what does it really tell us about the future?
To do over the horizon scanning, you need to start by seeing what is on the horizon.
Life, Death and Adaptation: How to think about the future
A narrow understanding of a business ecosystem is a constraint on imagination—and growth.
Foresight, Disaster, and Texas
When it comes to disaster preparedness, no one comes out looking all that good.
The post-COVID future is hostile to prediction
It’s about foresight — being ready for whatever the future brings.
Scenario Planning to Guide the Digital Journey
Because the strategic context matters.