Valuing ‘Rigorous Imagination’ in Scenario Planning
Scenario planning success requires disciplined, deliberate efforts to imagine the widest range of plausible future operating environments…
Scenarios
Should emerging population scenarios frighten us?
Population growth creates challenges, so does population decline. We’ll likely see both, at the same time.
FSG Signals: What are we missing?
Some big, some small, some existential in their implications…
Is strategic foresight in the US government dead?
And if so, who is left to rigorously imagine the future?
Roots of Cross-Impact Analysis in Strategic Foresight
This is the start of a series of FSG strategic foresight blogs on what we call cross-impact analysis. More than a single, discrete methodology, it’s a way of thinking about the future that looks beyond the trends that in the present moment appear all-defining and permanent. In this initial entry FSG senior advisor (and founding …
The complex puzzle of US population scenarios
Uncertainty around immigration, birthrates, the economy and even the environment challenge us to think about not one but multiple US population scenarios.
What Won’t Change in Our Uncertain Future?
Human nature, for one…
Seven Lessons for Scenario Planning
Take it from our deep experience.
AI Scenarios: Getting Beyond Our Reflex to Imagine the Worst
The complex AI future requires it…
Signals: Is the future of Texas the US’ future?
It’s a complicated question.