Is strategic foresight in the US government dead?
And if so, who is left to rigorously imagine the future?
Scenarios
Roots of Cross-Impact Analysis in Strategic Foresight
This is the start of a series of FSG strategic foresight blogs on what we call cross-impact analysis. More than a single, discrete methodology, it’s a way of thinking about the future that looks beyond the trends that in the present moment appear all-defining and permanent. In this initial entry FSG senior advisor (and founding …
The complex puzzle of US population scenarios
Uncertainty around immigration, birthrates, the economy and even the environment challenge us to think about not one but multiple US population scenarios.
What Won’t Change in Our Uncertain Future?
Human nature, for one…
Seven Lessons for Scenario Planning
Take it from our deep experience.
AI Scenarios: Getting Beyond Our Reflex to Imagine the Worst
The complex AI future requires it…
Signals: Is the future of Texas the US’ future?
It’s a complicated question.
Hopeful 2023 Scenario Bits
Happy Holidays!
We Need a Positive Economic Scenario Right About Now
FSG economist Robert Avila considers what could go right.
Confessions of an Engineer
…in a complex, non-linear world