Seven Lessons for Scenario Planning
Take it from our deep experience.
Scenarios
AI Scenarios: Getting Beyond Our Reflex to Imagine the Worst
The complex AI future requires it…
Signals: Is the future of Texas the US’ future?
It’s a complicated question.
Hopeful 2023 Scenario Bits
Happy Holidays!
We Need a Positive Economic Scenario Right About Now
FSG economist Robert Avila considers what could go right.
Confessions of an Engineer
…in a complex, non-linear world
Thriving in the Uncertainty Space
It’s seldom prudent to wait until the skies clear. They rarely do.
Fifty Shades of Green
There’s climate change. And there’s the equally messy social-political-economic contexts in which it will all play out.
Don’t Expect the Future to be Rational
Even supposedly stable systems can be unpredictable — often because human behavior makes them that way.
Harari’s Stumble on the Future
Even brilliant authors tend to underestimate the complexity of the future.