Strategic Surprise: When systems stop working
…and there’s no plan.
Seven Lessons for Scenario Planning
Take it from our deep experience.
AI Scenarios: Getting Beyond Our Reflex to Imagine the Worst
The complex AI future requires it…
Texas, Tennessee and a Tipping Point on Guns?
Some early signs of change.
Signals: Is the future of Texas the US’ future?
It’s a complicated question.
Signals: Homeowner’s Insurance, China and Hyperbole
Shorter reflections on some things in the news, from a distinctly FSG perspective.
Hopeful 2023 Scenario Bits
Happy Holidays!
The Continuity Trap
Eluding it requires rigorous imagination…
The Futility of Expert Prediction
We need less certainty, wider imaginations.
Scanning the Horizon: How to Upset Your Settled Opinions
…and manage future risk and uncertainty