October 13, 2016

Fall 2016 Scenario Planning Update

Peter Kennedy
Managing Principal

Scenario planning has never been more challenging – or important.

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October 03, 2016

Undecideds have decided. Game over?

Gerard Smith
Managing Principal

There’s actually less volatility in the polls than you might think. 

Virtually everything about election polls is anathema to scenario planners. Pollsters are concerned with the short term, and however much their reports are hedged, present a false precision to forecasts of uncertain outcomes. They have also been famously wrong, and are likely to become less and less reliable as response rates continue to fall. And yet, so extraordinary...Read more

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June 28, 2016

Brexit scenarios, and the surprises still lurking

Futures Strategy Group Principals
Partner

Assessing the risks of massive global disruptionRead more

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June 01, 2016

Don’t fight the future, whatever it turns out to be

By Kevin McDermott, Founder of Collective Intelligence and FSG Associate, and Charles Thomas, FSG Managing Principal

The highest barrier to managing strategic change is often the very success of today’s business model.Read more

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May 17, 2016

Two FSG Clients – One Lesson

Patrick Marren
Partner

Going in two directions at once in the Panama CanalRead more

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April 28, 2016

It's Getting Hard to Write Free Trade Scenarios

Peter Kennedy
Partner

We may have already seen the high-water mark of globalization. Read more

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March 07, 2016

Trump Scenarios

Patrick Marren
Partner

A number of outlets have beaten us to the punch and put forward a variety of scenarios for our nation's future under President Donald Trump. 

First off, the Brookings Institution has three Trump scenarios, written by Philip A. Wallach, Senior Fellow in Governance Studies. They are entitled "America Made Great Again: Trump as Figurehead and Negotiator;" "Congress Made Great Again: Trump's Failure and the Return of America's First Branch;" and "Just Sad:...Read more

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March 02, 2016

A Worrisome Recession Scenario

Peter Kennedy
Partner

What will sustain the global economy in these perilous times?Read more

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July 23, 2015

Article on Preparing for Acquisitions - and Scenarios

Patrick Marren
Partner

An article in Acquisitions International by Joseph Feldman has a bit to say about using scenario planning in acquisitions.

The article (see link) begins on p. 13.Read more

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