December 22, 2016

FSG and Scenario Planning in 2017

Peter Kennedy
Managing Principal
There must be some way out of here

Said the joker to the thief

There’s just too much confusion

I can’t get no relief.

 

-Bob Dylan, 2016 Nobel Prize Winner for Literature

“All Along the Watchtower”

What a year it’s been.  And there’s still a week left.  How many wild cards, Black Swans, once-a-century events...Read more

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November 16, 2016

Hate to Say We Told You So...

Patrick Marren
Principal
But we told you so.Read more
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October 18, 2016

Nate Silver Is A Rigged System

Patrick Marren
Principal

It's not that he's wrong. It's that Presidential elections are not baseball.Read more

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October 13, 2016

Fall 2016 Scenario Planning Update

Peter Kennedy
Managing Principal

Scenario planning has never been more challenging – or important.

 Read more

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October 03, 2016

Undecideds have decided. Game over?

Gerard Smith
Managing Principal

There’s actually less volatility in the polls than you might think. 

Virtually everything about election polls is anathema to scenario planners. Pollsters are concerned with the short term, and however much their reports are hedged, present a false precision to forecasts of uncertain outcomes. They have also been famously wrong, and are likely to become less and less reliable as response rates continue to fall. And yet, so extraordinary...Read more

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June 28, 2016

Brexit scenarios, and the surprises still lurking

Futures Strategy Group Principals
Partner

Assessing the risks of massive global disruptionRead more

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June 13, 2016

The future, after Orlando

Charles Thomas, Managing Principal

What’s left to say?Read more

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June 01, 2016

Don’t fight the future, whatever it turns out to be

By Kevin McDermott, Founder of Collective Intelligence and FSG Associate, and Charles Thomas, FSG Managing Principal

The highest barrier to managing strategic change is often the very success of today’s business model.Read more

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May 17, 2016

Two FSG Clients – One Lesson

Patrick Marren
Partner

Going in two directions at once in the Panama CanalRead more

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April 28, 2016

It's Getting Hard to Write Free Trade Scenarios

Peter Kennedy
Partner

We may have already seen the high-water mark of globalization. Read more

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