October 11, 2017

40 million people go missing in the future

Gerard Smith
Managing Principal

Demographics, unlike many other scenario-planning factors, is not prone to serious uncertainty, right?  Hang on...

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October 11, 2017

Older and Wiser?

Gerard Smith
Managing Principal

This is the second of two pieces about demography, focusing on another aspect, less to do with the population’s overall size than with its structure -  specifically the changing composition by age group....

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April 27, 2017

A Hypothesis about Working-Class Rage

Patrick Marren
Principal
Why are ordinary people revolting? Maybe...prediction?
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April 25, 2017

The Wrong Way to Use History

Patrick Marren
Principal

There have been a lot of historical analogies being thrown around lately.

The presidency of Donald Trump has caused a lot of smart people (and a lot of less-well-educated ones) to dig up stuff from the past that they see as relevant to our current situation - and to where we may be headed in the near future.

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March 23, 2017

FSG Scenario Planning Workshop with Rhode Island Fisheries

Peter Kennedy
Managing Principal

Scenario planning is an enjoyable and stimulating endeavor, endlessly interesting and always rewarding —to a large extent because its usefulness is in decision making under uncertainty.

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March 14, 2017

Designing the Office of Strategic Need

By Kevin McDermott, Founder of Collective Intelligence and FSG Associate, and Charles Thomas, FSG Managing Principal
FSG support

Organizations are managed by people who acquired expertise from experience in an existing operating environment. But operating environments change unrelentingly.  How does one get out ahead of this change?

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December 22, 2016

FSG and Scenario Planning in 2017

Peter Kennedy
Managing Principal
There must be some way out of here

Said the joker to the thief

There’s just too much confusion

I can’t get no relief.

 

-Bob Dylan, 2016 Nobel Prize Winner for Literature

“All Along the Watchtower”

What a year it’s been.  And there’s still a week left.  How many wild cards, Black Swans, once-a-century events...

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November 16, 2016

Hate to Say We Told You So...

Patrick Marren
Principal

But we told you so.

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October 18, 2016

Nate Silver Is A Rigged System

Patrick Marren
Principal

It's not that he's wrong. It's that Presidential elections are not baseball.

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October 13, 2016

Fall 2016 Scenario Planning Update

Peter Kennedy
Managing Principal

Scenario planning has never been more challenging – or important.

 

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